But what happens if a system neither reforms nor collapses in crisis?
Quietly,
a different kind of progressive change is emerging, one that involves a
transformation in institutional structures and power, a process one
could call “evolutionary reconstruction.” At the height of the financial
crisis in early 2009, some kind of nationalization of the banks seemed
possible. “The public hates bankers right now,” the Brookings
Institution’s Douglas Elliot observed. “Truthfully, you would find
considerable support for hanging a number of bankers…” It was a moment,
Barack Obama told banking CEOs, when his administration was “the only
thing between you and the pitchforks.” But the president opted for a
soft bailout engineered by Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner and White
House economic adviser Lawrence Summers. Whereas Franklin Roosevelt
attacked the “economic royalists” and built and mobilized his political
base, Obama entered office with an already organized base and largely
ignored it.
When
the next financial crisis occurs, and it will, a different political
opportunity may be possible. One option has already been put on the
table: in 2010, thirty-three senators voted to break up large Wall
Street investment banks that were “too big to fail.” Such a policy would
not only reduce financial vulnerability; it would alter the structure
of institutional power.
Still,
breaking up banks, even if successful, isn’t the end of the process.
The modern history of the financial industry, to say nothing of
anti-trust strategies in general, suggests that the big banks would
ultimately regroup and reconcentrate and restore their domination of the
system. So what can be done when “breaking them up” fails?
The
potentially explosive power of public anger at financial institutions
surfaced in May 2010 when the Senate voted by a 96-0 margin to audit the
Federal Reserve’s lending (a provision included ultimately in the
Dodd-Frank legislation, which was designed to protect American taxpayers
and consumers from financial corruption and to make the financial
system more accountable)—something that had never been done before.
Traditional reforms have aimed at improved regulation, higher reserve
requirements, and the channeling of credit to key sectors. But future
crises may feature a spectrum of sophisticated proposals for more
radical change offered by figures on both the left and right. For
instance, a “Limited Purpose Banking” strategy put forward by
conservative economist Laurence Kolticoff would impose a 100-percent
reserve requirement on banks. Because banks typically provide loans in
amounts many times their reserves, this would transform them into modest
institutions with little or no capacity to finance speculation. It
would also nationalize the creation of all new money as federal
authorities, rather than the banks, would directly control system-wide
financial flows. A variety of respected liberal as well as conservative
economists have welcomed this strategy—including five Nobel laureates in
economics.
On
the left, the economist Fred Moseley has proposed that for banks deemed
too big to fail “permanent nationalization with bonds-to-stocks swaps
for bondholders is the most equitable solution…” Nationally owned banks,
he argues, would provide a basis for “a more stable and public-oriented
banking system in the future.” Most striking is the argument of Willem
Buiter, the chief economist of Citigroup no less, that if the public
underwrites the costs of bailouts, “banks should be in public
ownership…” In fact, had the taxpayer funds used to bail out major
financial institutions in 2007–2010 been provided on condition that
voting stock be issued in return for the investment, one or more major
banks would, in fact, have become essentially publicly controlled banks.
Unknown
to most Americans, there have been a large number of small and
medium-sized public banking institutions for some time now. They have
financed small businesses, renewable energy, co-ops, housing,
infrastructure, and other specifically targeted areas. There are also
7,500 community-based credit unions. Further precedents for public
banking range from Small Business Administration loans to the activities
of the U.S.-dominated World Bank. In fact, the federal government
already operates 140 banks and quasi-banks that provide loans and loan
guarantees for an extraordinary range of domestic and international
economic activities. Through its various farm, housing, electricity,
cooperative and other loans, the Department of Agriculture alone
operates the equivalent of the seventh largest bank in America.
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